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Today there are some 6.25 billion human beings on the face of
the planet - double the number of people forty years ago. This is
expected to increase by a further 50% within 50 years to 9.3
billion, although that estimate is expected to be down graded to
7½ billion due to falling birth rates around the World.
PROBLEMS
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POVERTY - At present the UN
estimates that 1.2 billion people struggle every
day to survive on less than one dollar per day. That's a
figure that hasn't changed in a decade and represents
one fifth of the entire World population!

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FOOD - with a population of 6.25
billion we already have 800 million people who are
malnourished - one in every eight. We now need to address the problem of how
to grow enough food in the right places to ensure that
everyone is adequately fed. On 24 June 2002 ActionAid
released a report which claimed shortages in aid has
cost the lives of 15 million children worldwide since
1990. It went on to say that if nothing is done to meet
the "millennium development goals" (see below)
by 2015, that
figure could rise to 66 million. |
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WATER - there are currently 500 million people
experiencing severe and chronic water shortages around
the World. This figure
may reach 2.7 billion (one third of the world's population) in 50
countries within the next 25 years. Water is at a premium. It's
major use is in agriculture but much is wasted, so if we
are to feed the World and reduce the personal water
shortages experienced by people we need to use water far more
intelligently. |
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ENERGY - World oil production is
expected to peak within the next six years, but there
are no peaks in population growth in sight, just a
steady growth. Industry is at the heart of World economy
and energy is at the heart of industry. If we are to
reduce the levels of World poverty then industry will
need to rethink it's sources of energy so that it can
continue to grow with the population. International
trade will need to become fairer to reduce the
inequities between the rich and the poor. |
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ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT - Mankind's
current activities are causing global warming, climate
change and the loss of biological diversity. The
inter-relationship's between human activity and the
environment are complex, to say the least.
We rip the skin off our Earth with open-cast mining,
leaving livid scars in a previously whole environment.
60% of the destruction of the tropical rain forests
is down to subsistence farming. People trying to scrape
a living.
Tropical forests release huge
quantities of water vapor - when gone, rainfall
decreases, run-off into streams increases, soil
fertility and moisture decline.
Pollution is caused by the activities of Man. It is
the byproduct of industry, the agricultural runoff of
synthetic fertilisers used to boost crop production and
the natural end product of digestion. Pollution has
rendered many of the essential water supplies of the
World undrinkable. Pollution is in the air, contributing
to the "greenhouse effect", the associated
problem of global warming and the hole in the ozone
layer. Pollution is jeopardising not only mankind's
future, but that of all of the ecosystems on our planet
and will only get worse as population increases unless
dramatic changes are made in the way we conduct
ourselves.
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THE MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS
The Millennium Development Goals (MDG) were set out at the
United Nations Millennium Summit in September 2000. They are an
ambitious timetable for reducing poverty, its causes and
manifestations and a strong and passionate statement was made:
"We will spare no effort to free our men, women and
children from the abject and dehumanizing conditions of extreme
poverty, to which more than a billion of them are currently
subjected"
The goals include: Halving extreme poverty and hunger,
achieving universal primary education and gender equality,
reducing under-five mortality and maternal mortality by
two-thirds and three-quarters respectively, reversing the spread
of HIV/AIDS, halving the proportion of people without access to
safe drinking water and ensuring environmental sustainability.
They also include the goal of developing a global partnership
for development, with targets for aid, trade and debt relief.
It is expected that every developing country will have
produced a "goals and progress" report by the next
review, due in 2005. However, it is expected that many countries
will not achieve their goals. For instance, the goal for child malnutrition
is to reduce the 1990 figures for malnourished children under
the age of five by two thirds by the year 2015.
The following map shows the expectations of countries achieving
this goal:

Similarly, the goals for reducing under-fives child mortality
has a similar two thirds reduction over the same period, but the
expectation is shown below:

The World Bank has estimated that the cost of achieving all
of the MDGs by 2015 will be between $40 million and $60 million per year
in additional foreign aid, with the proviso that it can only be
done if many of the participating countries "reform their policies and improve
service delivery to make the additional spending effective".
This estimate is in line with others from UNICEF and the World
Health Organisation (WHO).
Debt Relief will play a highly significant role in achieving the
goals. In a recent statement, the UN made the critical
observation that:
"A recent study of budgetary spending in over 30
developing countries found that two-thirds spend more on debt
servicing than on basic social services. Some spend three to
five times more on debt. In sub-Saharan Africa, governments
spend about twice as much to comply with their financial
commitment to external creditors than to comply with their
social obligation to their people. Debt servicing often absorbs
between one-third and one-half of the national budget - making
macro-economic stability an elusive goal. To spend more on
external debt than on basic social services - when tens of
millions of people see their fundamental human rights denied -
is ethically wrong and makes poor economics."
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